Understanding Market Breadth, P/E Calculations, and Valuation Indicators - 04/19/2025

In this episode, Todd Berkley joins John in a discussion of the current state of the market, noting that the S&P 500 was down for the week despite more stocks going up than down. The conversation delved into the complexities of price-earnings multiples, highlighting the differences between simple and aggregate calculations, as well as market-cap weighted versus equal-weighted P/E ratios. Todd explained the Buffett indicator, which compares total market cap to GDP, and the Schiller P/E, a 10-year inflation-adjusted ratio, both suggesting the market is expensive. They also touched upon the influence of events like the Sarbanes-Oxley Act on the market and discussed the insights of successful investors like Felix Zulauf, who had made accurate market predictions, and the perspective of Jeremy Siegel on potentially permanently higher P/E multiples due to increased money supply